Hamburger SV vs VfL Bochum analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.1%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
17.1%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hamburger SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 1991 |
SIG
4 - 1
HSV
43%
24%
34%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1991 |
SGD
3 - 0
HSV
54%
24%
23%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1991 |
HSV
2 - 1
S04
52%
26%
22%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1991 |
HSV
1 - 2
SIG
70%
17%
13%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1991 |
HSV
1 - 1
F95
60%
23%
17%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
VfL Bochum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 1991 |
RTV
0 - 0
KAI
29%
27%
43%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1991 |
KOL
1 - 0
RTV
65%
21%
15%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 1991 |
RTV
2 - 2
SVS
36%
27%
37%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1991 |
SGD
0 - 0
RTV
69%
19%
11%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 1991 |
RTV
1 - 0
S04
36%
28%
36%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |