Hamburger SV vs B. Leverkusen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.5%
Win probability
2.86
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.6%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.8%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.9%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.9%
2-0
10%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.8%
13.2%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
13.2%
8.3%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hamburger SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 1984 |
RTV
0 - 0
HSV
30%
25%
45%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1984 |
SCG
2 - 0
HSV
12%
20%
68%
|
87 | 27 | 60 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 1984 |
HSV
1 - 1
MON
66%
18%
16%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1984 |
BVB
1 - 2
HSV
38%
24%
38%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1984 |
STU
0 - 1
HSV
57%
21%
22%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
B. Leverkusen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 1984 |
LEV
2 - 2
S04
45%
26%
29%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1984 |
LEV
5 - 0
KAI
36%
24%
41%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 1984 |
EIN
2 - 0
LEV
58%
22%
20%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 1984 |
LEV
4 - 3
F95
51%
24%
25%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1984 |
KOL
2 - 0
LEV
73%
15%
12%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | -2 |