UEFA Intertoto Cup Semi-finals
Global 1-2
Hamburger SV vs Bastia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.6%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
22.9%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hamburger SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 1997 |
HSV
3 - 1
SAM
71%
17%
12%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 1997 |
FBK
1 - 2
HSV
22%
23%
55%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 1997 |
HSV
2 - 1
OBK
64%
20%
17%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 1997 |
KFF
1 - 2
HSV
5%
14%
80%
|
82 | 47 | 35 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1997 |
F95
1 - 1
HSV
29%
26%
45%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 1997 |
BAS
1 - 2
GRA
62%
21%
17%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 1997 |
EBB
1 - 2
BAS
7%
16%
77%
|
80 | 9 | 71 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 1997 |
BAS
1 - 0
SIF
57%
22%
22%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 1997 |
HDR
0 - 1
BAS
39%
24%
38%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1997 |
REN
1 - 3
BAS
46%
25%
29%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | +1 |