Hamburger SV vs Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.9%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
31.4%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hamburger SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2007 |
KSC
1 - 1
HSV
30%
27%
44%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2007 |
HSV
0 - 0
COT
72%
18%
10%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2007 |
DZG
0 - 2
HSV
52%
24%
24%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2007 |
BRE
2 - 1
HSV
62%
21%
17%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2007 |
HSV
3 - 0
REN
58%
24%
18%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2007 |
BAS
2 - 0
STA
93%
6%
2%
|
84 | 56 | 28 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2007 |
BAS
0 - 1
NEX
73%
16%
10%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2007 |
BAS
1 - 0
BBS
61%
21%
19%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2007 |
THU
0 - 2
BAS
21%
23%
56%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2007 |
GCZ
0 - 1
BAS
30%
25%
46%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |