Hamburger SV vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.9%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.9%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.3%
43.8%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hamburger SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2006 |
SVS
4 - 3
HSV
13%
22%
65%
|
87 | 58 | 29 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2006 |
HSV
1 - 1
HER
50%
25%
25%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2006 |
OSA
1 - 1
HSV
49%
26%
26%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2006 |
COT
2 - 2
HSV
21%
26%
53%
|
87 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2006 |
HSV
1 - 1
ARB
66%
21%
14%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2006 |
ARS
1 - 1
MID
76%
16%
8%
|
93 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2006 |
MAC
1 - 0
ARS
22%
27%
52%
|
93 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2006 |
ARS
2 - 1
DZG
74%
17%
9%
|
93 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2006 |
ARS
1 - 1
ASV
76%
15%
9%
|
93 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2006 |
DZG
0 - 3
ARS
29%
27%
44%
|
93 | 85 | 8 | 0 |