Hamburger SV vs Arminia Bielefeld analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.1%
Win probability
2.97
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.2%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.7%
4-0
8%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.2%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.8%
11.6%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.6%
6.3%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hamburger SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 1981 |
S04
2 - 1
HSV
21%
23%
56%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1981 |
HSV
2 - 1
F95
76%
15%
10%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1981 |
BVB
6 - 2
HSV
33%
24%
44%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 1981 |
HSV
2 - 2
BYM
59%
20%
21%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1981 |
KFC
0 - 3
HSV
21%
23%
56%
|
89 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Arminia Bielefeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 1981 |
ARB
1 - 0
STU
29%
25%
46%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1981 |
LEV
2 - 0
ARB
48%
25%
27%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 1981 |
ARB
4 - 1
KSC
52%
23%
25%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 1981 |
ARB
1 - 0
S04
56%
22%
22%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1981 |
F95
3 - 1
ARB
70%
17%
13%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |