Hamburger SV vs 1860 München analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
+4
6.9%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.4%
9.6%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hamburger SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2008 |
HSV
3 - 1
ASV
29%
23%
48%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2008 |
HSV
1 - 0
EIN
58%
23%
19%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
KOL
1 - 2
HSV
27%
26%
46%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2008 |
SLP
0 - 2
HSV
41%
27%
32%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
RTV
1 - 1
HSV
34%
26%
40%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
1860 München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
MUN
1 - 1
FCN
30%
28%
43%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2008 |
AAA
2 - 0
MUN
62%
21%
17%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
MUN
3 - 3
WEH
50%
26%
24%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2008 |
ROS
0 - 1
MUN
54%
25%
21%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2008 |
MUN
0 - 1
AUG
53%
25%
22%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |