Hamburger SV vs 1860 München analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.6%
Win probability
3.27
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.7%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.8%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.5%
4-0
7%
5-1
4.4%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.7%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.7%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.3%
11.1%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11.1%
7.3%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hamburger SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 1963 |
BRE
4 - 2
HSV
33%
22%
45%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1963 |
HSV
5 - 1
HER
90%
7%
3%
|
78 | 32 | 46 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 1963 |
ULU
2 - 3
HSV
25%
18%
57%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 1963 |
HSV
4 - 0
ULU
79%
11%
10%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 1963 |
S04
1 - 0
HSV
26%
22%
52%
|
77 | 60 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
1860 München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 1963 |
MUN
5 - 0
FCN
36%
24%
41%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1963 |
MSV
3 - 0
MUN
42%
26%
33%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1963 |
MUN
3 - 0
KAI
68%
18%
14%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 1963 |
STU
1 - 1
MUN
50%
24%
27%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | +2 |
| 07 Sep. 1963 |
MUN
1 - 3
KOL
55%
22%
23%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |