DFB Pokal Last 16
Global 3-6
Hamburger SV vs Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.6%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
36%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hamburger SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 1973 |
HSV
2 - 0
HAN
59%
22%
19%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1973 |
KOL
2 - 1
HSV
74%
15%
11%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1973 |
MSV
3 - 0
HSV
45%
25%
30%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 1973 |
HSV
2 - 0
STU
47%
24%
29%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 1973 |
MON
6 - 1
HSV
81%
12%
7%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 1973 |
EBT
2 - 0
KOL
24%
27%
50%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1973 |
KOL
2 - 1
HSV
74%
15%
11%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1973 |
KOL
3 - 1
MSV
76%
15%
9%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1973 |
ROT
2 - 2
KOL
26%
24%
50%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1973 |
KOL
5 - 1
STU
70%
18%
13%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |