Hamburger SV vs Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.9%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
33.5%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hamburger SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 1965 |
MSV
3 - 1
HSV
37%
23%
40%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1965 |
HSV
4 - 1
STU
69%
17%
14%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 1965 |
KAI
2 - 1
HSV
27%
22%
51%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 1965 |
HSV
2 - 1
HAN
73%
15%
12%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 1965 |
FCN
5 - 0
HSV
47%
22%
32%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 1965 |
KOL
1 - 2
BVB
60%
20%
20%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1965 |
MON
2 - 3
KOL
22%
22%
55%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1965 |
KOL
2 - 0
ARI
82%
11%
7%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1965 |
KOL
2 - 0
KSC
81%
12%
7%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1965 |
TAS
0 - 6
KOL
24%
21%
55%
|
87 | 67 | 20 | +1 |