Hamburger SV vs Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.7%
Win probability
2.71
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
16.5%
15.8%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hamburger SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 1964 |
EIN
2 - 2
HSV
30%
21%
49%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1964 |
HSV
1 - 1
BRE
80%
12%
9%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1964 |
HSV
3 - 3
MSV
84%
10%
6%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1964 |
LYO
2 - 0
HSV
13%
16%
71%
|
91 | 78 | 13 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 1964 |
EBT
2 - 1
HSV
10%
15%
75%
|
91 | 74 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 1964 |
KOL
4 - 1
EBT
81%
11%
7%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1964 |
MSV
2 - 2
KOL
30%
24%
47%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1964 |
PRE
0 - 2
KOL
18%
22%
60%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1964 |
KOL
4 - 0
ROM
77%
13%
9%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 1964 |
KOL
1 - 1
EIN
65%
18%
18%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |