Hamburger SV II vs VfB Oldenburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.3%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
33.3%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+38%
-15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
5º
18º
7º
21
9º
18º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
50 | 74 |
1º
|
88.5% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 61 |
2º
|
34.5% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 60 |
3º
|
22.5% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 58 |
4º
|
12.5% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 57 |
5º
|
16.5% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 56 |
6º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
33 | 53 |
7º
|
19.5% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 49 |
8º
|
14% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 49 |
9º
|
15% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 48 |
10º
|
10.5% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 41 |
11º
|
13.5% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 40 |
12º
|
14% | |
|
|
14º
|
21 | 39 |
13º
|
18% | |
|
17º
|
18 | 37 |
14º
|
15% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 37 |
15º
|
13.5% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 33 |
16º
|
17.5% | |
|
18º
|
17 | 32 |
17º
|
16.5% | |
|
16º
|
19 | 30 |
18º
|
42% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 88.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 11.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hamburger SV II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
BWL
3 - 2
HAM
38%
25%
37%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2024 |
JED
2 - 2
HAM
38%
25%
37%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
HAM
1 - 2
BSV
33%
25%
41%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
FCP
1 - 1
HAM
68%
18%
13%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
HAM
5 - 2
OTT
54%
22%
24%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
VfB Oldenburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
VFB
4 - 0
STP
60%
21%
19%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
TOD
0 - 0
VFB
36%
25%
39%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
VFB
0 - 3
WER
38%
23%
39%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
VFB
2 - 2
MEP
31%
24%
45%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
BWL
1 - 0
VFB
32%
25%
43%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |