Hamburger SV II vs Todesfelde analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.2%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
28.4%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
+21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
8
8º
18º
8º
11
9º
18º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
28 | 67 |
1º
|
32.5% | |
|
2º
|
20 | 64 |
2º
|
16.5% | |
|
6º
|
16 | 63 |
3º
|
19% | |
|
8º
|
13 | 63 |
4º
|
19% | |
|
4º
|
17 | 61 |
5º
|
12.5% | |
|
7º
|
15 | 51 |
6º
|
11.5% | |
|
3º
|
19 | 49 |
7º
|
11% | |
|
|
15º
|
8 | 44 |
8º
|
6% | |
|
5º
|
17 | 44 |
9º
|
7.5% | |
|
12º
|
10 | 43 |
10º
|
8.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
11 | 43 |
11º
|
6% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 42 |
12º
|
9.5% | |
|
13º
|
9 | 41 |
13º
|
6.5% | |
|
16º
|
8 | 41 |
14º
|
7.5% | |
|
9º
|
13 | 34 |
15º
|
17.5% | |
|
18º
|
7 | 34 |
16º
|
11% | |
|
17º
|
7 | 34 |
17º
|
14.5% | |
|
11º
|
11 | 34 |
18º
|
14% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
94% | 90.5% |
|
Relegation
|
6% | 9.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hamburger SV II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
HAM
5 - 0
VFB
42%
24%
33%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
BWL
3 - 2
HAM
38%
25%
37%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2024 |
JED
2 - 2
HAM
38%
25%
37%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
HAM
1 - 2
BSV
33%
25%
41%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
FCP
1 - 1
HAM
68%
18%
13%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Todesfelde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
TOD
0 - 0
MEP
20%
23%
57%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2024 |
TOD
2 - 0
OTT
48%
24%
28%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | +2 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
WER
1 - 2
TOD
72%
16%
12%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
TOD
0 - 0
VFB
36%
25%
39%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
BWL
0 - 3
TOD
52%
23%
25%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | +2 |