Hamburger SV II vs Hertha BSC II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.5%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
25.2%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hamburger SV II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
HAM
0 - 2
LUB
42%
26%
32%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
HAV
4 - 2
HAM
35%
25%
40%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
HAM
0 - 1
WSV
66%
19%
15%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
HAN
3 - 1
HAM
39%
26%
35%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
MEP
2 - 5
HAM
33%
25%
42%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Hertha BSC II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
HER
0 - 0
MEP
54%
22%
24%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
HAL
2 - 0
HER
54%
25%
21%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
HER
1 - 0
WOL
24%
25%
51%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
GER
5 - 0
HER
42%
25%
33%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | -2 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
HER
1 - 0
BAK
60%
22%
19%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | +1 |