Hamburger SV II vs Hertha BSC II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.3%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
23.1%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hamburger SV II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2010 |
HAM
0 - 3
LUB
54%
25%
21%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
STP
0 - 3
HAM
25%
25%
50%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2010 |
TUR
0 - 1
HAM
24%
25%
51%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
HAM
2 - 1
GOS
70%
19%
11%
|
51 | 34 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
HAL
0 - 1
HAM
53%
25%
22%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Hertha BSC II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
HER
3 - 0
MAG
33%
26%
42%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
MEU
2 - 1
HER
56%
22%
22%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2010 |
HER
1 - 1
TEN
50%
24%
26%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2010 |
HER
1 - 1
HAL
31%
28%
41%
|
42 | 57 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
OBE
1 - 1
HER
41%
25%
34%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |