Hamburger SV II vs Bremer SV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.6%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
21%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
23.5%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+38%
-16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
5º
18º
7º
18
1º
18º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
50 | 74 |
1º
|
88.5% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 61 |
2º
|
34.5% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 60 |
3º
|
22.5% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 58 |
4º
|
12.5% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 57 |
5º
|
16.5% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 56 |
6º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
33 | 53 |
7º
|
19.5% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 49 |
8º
|
14% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 49 |
9º
|
15% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 48 |
10º
|
10.5% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 41 |
11º
|
13.5% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 40 |
12º
|
14% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 39 |
13º
|
18% | |
|
|
17º
|
18 | 37 |
14º
|
15% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 37 |
15º
|
13.5% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 33 |
16º
|
17.5% | |
|
18º
|
17 | 32 |
17º
|
16.5% | |
|
16º
|
19 | 30 |
18º
|
42% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 82% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 18% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hamburger SV II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
HAM
1 - 1
DRO
39%
26%
35%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2024 |
WEI
1 - 0
HAM
40%
26%
35%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
HAM
2 - 1
HOL
54%
22%
24%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2024 |
EIN
0 - 1
HAM
25%
24%
51%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
STP
1 - 4
HAM
38%
25%
37%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Bremer SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
STP
1 - 1
BRE
38%
24%
39%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
BRE
3 - 0
TOD
48%
23%
29%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
WER
3 - 2
BRE
74%
15%
11%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
BRE
1 - 2
VFB
48%
24%
28%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
BWL
5 - 3
BRE
41%
24%
35%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | -1 |