Hamburger SV III vs SV Lurup analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
89.3%
Win probability
3.59
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
1%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.3%
7-0
2.2%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.9%
6-0
4.3%
7-1
1.4%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
6%
5-0
7.2%
6-1
2.8%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
<0%
+5
10.5%
4-0
10%
5-1
4.6%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
15.7%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.3%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14%
7.3%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
3.4%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
7.3%
3.3%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.5%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hamburger SV III
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2016 |
GER
2 - 6
HAM
13%
17%
70%
|
24 | 11 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2016 |
HAM
2 - 0
THA
65%
18%
17%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
VHA
1 - 3
HAM
23%
21%
57%
|
23 | 16 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2016 |
HAM
4 - 4
OTT
36%
22%
43%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
SCS
2 - 6
HAM
12%
17%
71%
|
23 | 11 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
SV Lurup
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
SVL
0 - 5
HEB
9%
13%
78%
|
5 | 23 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
NDF
8 - 1
SVL
87%
9%
4%
|
5 | 23 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
SVL
2 - 4
ALS
16%
18%
66%
|
5 | 15 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2016 |
BWS
7 - 1
SVL
78%
13%
9%
|
5 | 15 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2016 |
SVL
1 - 2
PNB
12%
16%
73%
|
6 | 18 | 12 | -1 |