Hamburger SV III vs Rugenbergen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.9%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.1%
22.9%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
+49%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
10º
16º
17º
35
13º
18º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
74 | 77 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
70 | 73 |
3º
|
99% | |
|
5º
|
67 | 70 |
4º
|
65% | |
|
4º
|
68 | 69 |
5º
|
66% | |
|
6º
|
63 | 63 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
54 | 57 |
7º
|
59.5% | |
|
8º
|
54 | 54 |
8º
|
59.5% | |
|
10º
|
47 | 50 |
9º
|
78% | |
|
9º
|
48 | 48 |
10º
|
78% | |
|
11º
|
43 | 46 |
11º
|
90% | |
|
12º
|
41 | 41 |
12º
|
84.5% | |
|
13º
|
40 | 40 |
13º
|
92.5% | |
|
14º
|
39 | 39 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
35 | 35 |
15º
|
78.5% | |
|
16º
|
33 | 33 |
16º
|
68.5% | |
|
|
17º
|
31 | 31 |
17º
|
90% | |
|
19º
|
23 | 24 |
18º
|
54.5% | |
|
18º
|
23 | 23 |
19º
|
54.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 78.5% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 21.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hamburger SV III
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2022 |
VHG
3 - 2
HAM
68%
16%
16%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
HAM
0 - 2
WAN
53%
20%
27%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2022 |
BAR
2 - 2
HAM
13%
16%
70%
|
24 | 14 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2022 |
HAM
5 - 3
BRA
88%
8%
4%
|
25 | 13 | 12 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2022 |
MEI
0 - 4
HAM
5%
11%
85%
|
24 | 8 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Rugenbergen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
RUG
0 - 2
NIE
23%
21%
56%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
PAL
2 - 1
RUG
61%
19%
20%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2022 |
RUG
4 - 1
LOH
61%
19%
20%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2022 |
RUG
8 - 0
MEI
88%
9%
4%
|
24 | 7 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
RUG
4 - 0
BAR
75%
15%
11%
|
23 | 15 | 8 | +1 |