Hamburger SV III vs HEBC Hamburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.4%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.3%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
8%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.1%
34.5%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
10º
16º
17º
47
9º
18º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
74 | 77 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
70 | 73 |
3º
|
99% | |
|
5º
|
67 | 70 |
4º
|
65% | |
|
4º
|
68 | 69 |
5º
|
66% | |
|
6º
|
63 | 63 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
54 | 57 |
7º
|
59.5% | |
|
8º
|
54 | 54 |
8º
|
59.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
47 | 50 |
9º
|
78% | |
|
9º
|
48 | 48 |
10º
|
78% | |
|
11º
|
43 | 46 |
11º
|
90% | |
|
12º
|
41 | 41 |
12º
|
84.5% | |
|
13º
|
40 | 40 |
13º
|
92.5% | |
|
14º
|
39 | 39 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
35 | 35 |
15º
|
78.5% | |
|
16º
|
33 | 33 |
16º
|
68.5% | |
|
|
17º
|
31 | 31 |
17º
|
90% | |
|
19º
|
23 | 24 |
18º
|
54.5% | |
|
18º
|
23 | 23 |
19º
|
54.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hamburger SV III
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2022 |
HAM
2 - 1
BUC
62%
18%
20%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
UTO
2 - 1
HAM
40%
21%
40%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2022 |
NIE
5 - 2
HAM
74%
15%
11%
|
21 | 36 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2022 |
HAM
0 - 2
PAL
29%
22%
49%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
HAM
4 - 4
SAS
17%
19%
64%
|
21 | 37 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
HEBC Hamburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
CUR
2 - 2
HEB
33%
22%
46%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2022 |
HEB
1 - 2
NIE
24%
21%
55%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
HEB
2 - 0
THA
35%
22%
44%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2022 |
HEB
1 - 1
UTO
64%
18%
18%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2022 |
SUD
4 - 1
HEB
52%
20%
28%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | -1 |