Hamburger SV III vs Elmshorn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.8%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.6%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
17.8%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hamburger SV III
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2016 |
SAS
7 - 0
HAM
59%
19%
22%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2016 |
HAM
0 - 5
OSD
26%
21%
54%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | -2 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
GER
2 - 1
HAM
15%
18%
68%
|
24 | 11 | 13 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
HEB
3 - 2
HAM
34%
23%
43%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2016 |
HAM
2 - 0
SVE
84%
11%
6%
|
24 | 12 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Elmshorn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
PNB
2 - 0
ELM
19%
20%
62%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
TBP
2 - 0
ELM
17%
19%
64%
|
20 | 12 | 8 | -2 |
| 08 Apr. 2016 |
ELM
2 - 1
SAS
34%
22%
44%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | +2 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
OSD
2 - 1
ELM
78%
14%
9%
|
18 | 31 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2016 |
ELM
3 - 2
GER
75%
15%
11%
|
19 | 12 | 7 | -1 |