Hamborn vs Homberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.6%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.5%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.3%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
37.5%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+52%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
2º
18º
18º
52
3º
15º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
70 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 64 |
2º
|
57.5% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 63 |
3º
|
57.5% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 58 |
4º
|
57.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
52 | 55 |
5º
|
22.5% | |
|
5º
|
54 | 54 |
6º
|
48.5% | |
|
15º
|
34 | 53 |
7º
|
4.5% | |
|
7º
|
52 | 53 |
8º
|
23.5% | |
|
8º
|
44 | 45 |
9º
|
71.5% | |
|
9º
|
42 | 43 |
10º
|
38% | |
|
10º
|
41 | 42 |
11º
|
36% | |
|
11º
|
41 | 42 |
12º
|
55.5% | |
|
12º
|
37 | 38 |
13º
|
27% | |
|
13º
|
37 | 38 |
14º
|
21% | |
|
14º
|
35 | 36 |
15º
|
35% | |
|
16º
|
34 | 35 |
16º
|
52.5% | |
|
17º
|
33 | 34 |
17º
|
81.5% | |
|
|
18º
|
29 | 29 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hamborn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
FCB
2 - 1
HAM
6%
11%
84%
|
33 | 11 | 22 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
HAM
3 - 2
BWM
63%
19%
19%
|
33 | 19 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
HAM
0 - 4
MSV
7%
14%
80%
|
33 | 57 | 24 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2023 |
MEE
6 - 3
HAM
34%
21%
45%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | -2 |
| 29 May. 2023 |
HAM
3 - 1
VEL
19%
22%
58%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | +3 |
Matches
Homberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
VFB
2 - 2
KFC
25%
25%
50%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
VFB
1 - 3
SPR
53%
22%
25%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
VFB
2 - 0
FSV
78%
14%
8%
|
35 | 13 | 22 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2023 |
VFB
4 - 2
SPE
72%
17%
12%
|
34 | 16 | 18 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
VFB
1 - 1
WAT
48%
23%
30%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |