Hamborn vs Homberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.4%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
13.9%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+52%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hamborn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
KAP
3 - 0
HAM
38%
24%
39%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
SON
0 - 4
HAM
40%
23%
37%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2013 |
WUP
5 - 2
HAM
38%
25%
38%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | -2 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
HAM
0 - 1
HNI
69%
18%
13%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2013 |
SPE
4 - 2
HAM
28%
23%
50%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | -2 |
Matches
Homberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
VFB
2 - 1
DUS
20%
23%
57%
|
20 | 34 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2013 |
VFB
1 - 1
RWO
40%
24%
36%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
WUP
0 - 0
VFB
69%
19%
12%
|
19 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
VFB
1 - 3
SFB
42%
23%
35%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2013 |
JDH
1 - 1
VFB
63%
20%
17%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |