Hamborn vs SF Baumberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.2%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.5%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.7%
53.1%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.9%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
2º
18º
18º
70
1º
1º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
70 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 64 |
2º
|
57.5% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 63 |
3º
|
57.5% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 58 |
4º
|
57.5% | |
|
6º
|
52 | 55 |
5º
|
22.5% | |
|
5º
|
54 | 54 |
6º
|
48.5% | |
|
15º
|
34 | 53 |
7º
|
4.5% | |
|
7º
|
52 | 53 |
8º
|
23.5% | |
|
8º
|
44 | 45 |
9º
|
71.5% | |
|
9º
|
42 | 43 |
10º
|
38% | |
|
10º
|
41 | 42 |
11º
|
36% | |
|
11º
|
41 | 42 |
12º
|
55.5% | |
|
12º
|
37 | 38 |
13º
|
27% | |
|
13º
|
37 | 38 |
14º
|
21% | |
|
14º
|
35 | 36 |
15º
|
35% | |
|
16º
|
34 | 35 |
16º
|
52.5% | |
|
17º
|
33 | 34 |
17º
|
81.5% | |
|
|
18º
|
29 | 29 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hamborn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
KFC
3 - 0
HAM
66%
19%
15%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
HAM
0 - 0
VFB
40%
23%
38%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
FCB
2 - 1
HAM
6%
11%
84%
|
33 | 11 | 22 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
HAM
3 - 2
BWM
63%
19%
19%
|
33 | 19 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
HAM
0 - 4
MSV
7%
14%
80%
|
33 | 57 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
SF Baumberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
SFB
3 - 1
MEE
62%
19%
20%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
KFC
1 - 2
SFB
59%
21%
21%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | +2 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
SFB
2 - 0
SON
63%
19%
18%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Jul. 2023 |
SFB
2 - 0
BSC
46%
23%
32%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
SFB
4 - 2
SCH
45%
21%
34%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | +2 |