Hambericho Durame vs Ethiopian Insurance analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.9%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.4%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.9%
72.2%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
14%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.9%
0-3
10.1%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
14.2%
0-4
5.5%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.2%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+88%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hambericho Durame
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2023 |
WOL
1 - 0
HDR
79%
15%
7%
|
9 | 52 | 43 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2023 |
HDR
0 - 3
KET
12%
21%
67%
|
9 | 53 | 44 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2023 |
MAK
1 - 0
HDR
81%
13%
6%
|
9 | 54 | 45 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2023 |
HDR
0 - 0
HAD
12%
22%
66%
|
8 | 54 | 46 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
ADK
2 - 2
HDR
79%
15%
6%
|
7 | 54 | 47 | +1 |
Matches
Ethiopian Insurance
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
HAD
1 - 1
ETH
47%
25%
29%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2023 |
ETH
0 - 1
MAK
50%
25%
26%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2023 |
ETH
0 - 3
KGI
48%
25%
27%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2023 |
AWK
0 - 0
ETH
49%
23%
28%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2023 |
ETH
0 - 1
WED
53%
24%
23%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | -1 |