Hambericho Durame vs Ethiopia Bunna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.9%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.5%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.8%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.4%
67.7%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
13.8%
1-3
6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.9%
0-3
9%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
12.4%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hambericho Durame
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2024 |
AWK
2 - 0
HDR
84%
11%
5%
|
10 | 51 | 41 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2024 |
WED
1 - 0
HDR
69%
21%
11%
|
10 | 53 | 43 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
SIB
0 - 2
HDR
81%
13%
6%
|
8 | 53 | 45 | +2 |
| 18 Jan. 2024 |
HDR
0 - 3
SCT
43%
22%
35%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2024 |
BAH
0 - 0
HDR
81%
13%
6%
|
9 | 53 | 44 | 0 |
Matches
Ethiopia Bunna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2024 |
MAK
0 - 4
ETB
43%
27%
30%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2024 |
ETB
3 - 0
ETH
49%
24%
27%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
ETB
1 - 0
WOL
45%
26%
30%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2024 |
ETB
1 - 1
HAD
50%
26%
24%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2024 |
ETB
1 - 1
SCT
82%
13%
6%
|
53 | 9 | 44 | 0 |