Halmstads vs Malmö FF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.9%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.2%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.6%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
47.7%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
2º
15º
15º
49
1º
1º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
49 | 60 |
1º
|
90.5% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 51 |
2º
|
30.5% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 51 |
3º
|
19.5% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 49 |
4º
|
9.5% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 48 |
5º
|
11% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 48 |
6º
|
14.5% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 47 |
7º
|
14% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 47 |
8º
|
18% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 45 |
9º
|
21% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 39 |
10º
|
32% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 37 |
11º
|
29.5% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 33 |
12º
|
23% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 32 |
13º
|
24% | |
|
15º
|
20 | 31 |
14º
|
23% | |
|
|
14º
|
21 | 29 |
15º
|
34.5% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 26 |
16º
|
55% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 90.5% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 9% |
|
Mid-table
|
21% | 0.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
25.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
53.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Halmstads
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
BRO
4 - 1
HAL
48%
25%
27%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
HAL
1 - 0
IFK
33%
27%
40%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
NOR
1 - 0
HAL
53%
24%
24%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2024 |
HAL
1 - 2
AIK
30%
27%
43%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
MFF
5 - 1
HAL
52%
24%
24%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Malmö FF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2024 |
MFF
2 - 2
PAO
41%
25%
35%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2024 |
KLA
3 - 2
MFF
23%
22%
56%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
MFF
0 - 1
SIR
43%
25%
32%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2024 |
MFF
4 - 1
KLA
67%
20%
14%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
SIR
3 - 4
MFF
45%
24%
31%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | +1 |