Hallescher FC vs Luckenwalde analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.8%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.3%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.4%
8.8%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
2º
11º
3º
7
11º
18º
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
19 | 69 |
1º
|
40% | |
|
1º
|
23 | 65 |
2º
|
22% | |
|
|
3º
|
16 | 64 |
3º
|
20% | |
|
8º
|
12 | 59 |
4º
|
11.5% | |
|
4º
|
15 | 57 |
5º
|
12% | |
|
5º
|
15 | 56 |
6º
|
12% | |
|
7º
|
14 | 52 |
7º
|
11.5% | |
|
11º
|
11 | 50 |
8º
|
10% | |
|
6º
|
15 | 50 |
9º
|
11% | |
|
12º
|
10 | 43 |
10º
|
10% | |
|
13º
|
9 | 42 |
11º
|
13.5% | |
|
9º
|
12 | 42 |
12º
|
10.5% | |
|
10º
|
12 | 42 |
13º
|
6% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 42 |
14º
|
10.5% | |
|
17º
|
6 | 33 |
15º
|
16% | |
|
18º
|
5 | 28 |
16º
|
10% | |
|
15º
|
7 | 27 |
17º
|
21.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
7 | 27 |
18º
|
28.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
14.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
85.5% | 71.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 28.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hallescher FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2024 |
VIK
1 - 0
HAL
29%
26%
46%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
HAL
2 - 2
EIL
75%
16%
8%
|
61 | 43 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
LOK
1 - 1
HAL
23%
25%
53%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2024 |
HAL
1 - 0
ALT
49%
24%
26%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
HAL
2 - 3
STP
9%
15%
77%
|
60 | 85 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Luckenwalde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2024 |
LUC
0 - 3
HZE
21%
22%
57%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
VIK
4 - 1
LUC
63%
22%
15%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
LUC
0 - 0
BFC
22%
24%
55%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
EIL
2 - 0
LUC
32%
25%
43%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | -2 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
LUC
0 - 0
CHL
31%
26%
43%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | 0 |