Hallescher FC vs Luckenwalde analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.8%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.3%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.4%
8.8%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
2º
11º
2º
16
11º
18º
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
47 | 71 |
1º
|
59.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
41 | 68 |
2º
|
45.5% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 62 |
3º
|
35% | |
|
3º
|
33 | 57 |
4º
|
13.5% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 55 |
5º
|
17.5% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 55 |
6º
|
12% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 54 |
7º
|
14% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 53 |
8º
|
13.5% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 50 |
9º
|
11.5% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 49 |
10º
|
19.5% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 43 |
11º
|
16.5% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 41 |
12º
|
22.5% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 41 |
13º
|
20.5% | |
|
16º
|
16 | 34 |
14º
|
19% | |
|
14º
|
19 | 31 |
15º
|
20% | |
|
15º
|
17 | 29 |
16º
|
19% | |
|
18º
|
15 | 28 |
17º
|
19% | |
|
|
17º
|
16 | 25 |
18º
|
43.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
33% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
67% | 56.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 43.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hallescher FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2024 |
VIK
1 - 0
HAL
29%
26%
46%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
HAL
2 - 2
EIL
75%
16%
8%
|
62 | 44 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
LOK
1 - 1
HAL
23%
25%
53%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2024 |
HAL
1 - 0
ALT
49%
24%
26%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
HAL
2 - 3
STP
9%
15%
77%
|
61 | 85 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Luckenwalde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2024 |
LUC
0 - 3
HZE
21%
22%
57%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
VIK
4 - 1
LUC
63%
22%
15%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
LUC
0 - 0
BFC
22%
24%
55%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
EIL
2 - 0
LUC
32%
25%
43%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
LUC
0 - 0
CHL
31%
26%
43%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | 0 |