Hallescher FC vs FC Carl Zeiss Jena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.8%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
33.7%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
2º
11º
3º
19
1º
3º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
2º
|
19 | 69 |
1º
|
40% | |
|
1º
|
23 | 65 |
2º
|
22% | |
|
|
3º
|
16 | 64 |
3º
|
20% | |
|
8º
|
12 | 59 |
4º
|
11.5% | |
|
4º
|
15 | 57 |
5º
|
12% | |
|
5º
|
15 | 56 |
6º
|
12% | |
|
7º
|
14 | 52 |
7º
|
11.5% | |
|
11º
|
11 | 50 |
8º
|
10% | |
|
6º
|
15 | 50 |
9º
|
11% | |
|
12º
|
10 | 43 |
10º
|
10% | |
|
13º
|
9 | 42 |
11º
|
13.5% | |
|
9º
|
12 | 42 |
12º
|
10.5% | |
|
10º
|
12 | 42 |
13º
|
6% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 42 |
14º
|
10.5% | |
|
17º
|
6 | 33 |
15º
|
16% | |
|
18º
|
5 | 28 |
16º
|
10% | |
|
15º
|
7 | 27 |
17º
|
21.5% | |
|
16º
|
7 | 27 |
18º
|
28.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
14.5% | 40% |
|
Mid-table
|
85.5% | 60% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hallescher FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
HAL
4 - 1
HER
61%
22%
17%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
HAL
1 - 0
LUC
75%
16%
9%
|
60 | 43 | 17 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2024 |
VIK
1 - 0
HAL
29%
26%
46%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
HAL
2 - 2
EIL
75%
16%
8%
|
61 | 43 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
LOK
1 - 1
HAL
23%
25%
53%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
FC Carl Zeiss Jena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
EIL
1 - 1
CZJ
11%
18%
72%
|
60 | 42 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
CZJ
0 - 1
LOK
53%
24%
23%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2024 |
ALT
4 - 2
CZJ
36%
24%
41%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2024 |
CZJ
5 - 1
ERF
67%
20%
12%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
CZJ
0 - 1
LEV
7%
15%
79%
|
60 | 97 | 37 | 0 |