Hallescher FC U19 vs Erzgebirge Aue U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.4%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.3%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.4%
35.2%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
2º
6º
5º
14
1º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
23 | 23 |
1º
|
62.5% | |
|
2º
|
22 | 22 |
2º
|
41.5% | |
|
3º
|
21 | 22 |
3º
|
41.5% | |
|
4º
|
20 | 20 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
17 | 17 |
5º
|
40.5% | |
|
6º
|
15 | 16 |
6º
|
2.5% | |
|
7º
|
15 | 16 |
7º
|
13% | |
|
|
8º
|
14 | 15 |
8º
|
53.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hallescher FC U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
DDR
1 - 1
HAL
52%
22%
26%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
COT
3 - 2
HAL
49%
22%
29%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
HAL
2 - 1
CHE
39%
22%
39%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
HAL
3 - 2
CZJ
54%
21%
25%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
HAL
2 - 3
HER
14%
17%
70%
|
20 | 34 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
ERA
1 - 2
CHE
45%
21%
33%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
LEI
1 - 1
ERA
71%
16%
14%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
ERA
2 - 1
CZJ
54%
20%
26%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
ERA
0 - 2
COT
49%
21%
30%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
HER
2 - 3
ERA
77%
13%
10%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | +1 |