Halcones vs Zacapa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.2%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
16.5%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Halcones
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
HAL
2 - 0
DEP
60%
22%
18%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
HER
3 - 1
HAL
51%
25%
25%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
HAL
4 - 0
VEN
57%
23%
20%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2012 |
COM
2 - 0
HAL
52%
24%
24%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
TOR
1 - 0
HAL
51%
24%
25%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Zacapa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
CON
3 - 0
ZAC
46%
27%
27%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
ZAC
2 - 0
CHI
45%
26%
29%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
RET
1 - 2
ZAC
56%
23%
21%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2012 |
ZAC
0 - 1
MUN
45%
26%
29%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
LEO
4 - 0
ZAC
57%
23%
20%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | -1 |