Halcones vs Universidad San Carlos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.2%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
28.8%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Halcones
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
GUA
3 - 1
HAL
40%
28%
32%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2015 |
HAL
0 - 1
MUN
50%
27%
23%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
HAL
2 - 0
COA
45%
26%
29%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
ANT
4 - 0
HAL
44%
26%
29%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
TOR
2 - 1
HAL
43%
27%
30%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Universidad San Carlos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
UNI
2 - 2
DEP
50%
25%
26%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2015 |
LEO
0 - 0
UNI
53%
24%
22%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
COM
5 - 0
UNI
48%
26%
26%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
UNI
0 - 2
CHI
52%
24%
24%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
VEN
1 - 1
UNI
53%
24%
23%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |