Halcones vs Universidad San Carlos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.7%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
21.4%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Halcones
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
LEO
2 - 2
HAL
50%
26%
24%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2010 |
VEN
2 - 0
HAL
53%
25%
22%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2010 |
HAL
2 - 3
COM
55%
24%
21%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2010 |
CON
1 - 0
HAL
36%
28%
36%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2010 |
HAL
2 - 2
HER
52%
24%
24%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Universidad San Carlos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
UNI
1 - 2
COM
48%
27%
25%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2010 |
CON
1 - 0
UNI
37%
28%
35%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2010 |
HER
2 - 1
UNI
55%
24%
21%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2010 |
CHI
2 - 1
UNI
48%
26%
25%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2010 |
UNI
1 - 0
XIN
46%
26%
28%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | +1 |