Halcones vs Municipal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.5%
20.5%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Halcones
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2014 |
VEN
0 - 0
HAL
51%
24%
25%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
HAL
0 - 0
IZT
62%
22%
16%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
UNI
1 - 3
HAL
49%
25%
26%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2014 |
HAL
3 - 2
HER
48%
26%
27%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
CHI
3 - 0
HAL
50%
25%
25%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Municipal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2014 |
MUN
3 - 0
LEO
56%
24%
20%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
COA
1 - 2
MUN
50%
27%
24%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
VEN
1 - 0
MUN
57%
24%
19%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2014 |
MUN
3 - 1
IZT
64%
21%
15%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
UNI
1 - 0
MUN
56%
24%
19%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |