Halcones vs Municipal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.2%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
17.8%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Halcones
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
HER
5 - 1
HAL
53%
24%
23%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2012 |
HAL
3 - 1
HER
53%
24%
24%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
DEP
2 - 0
HAL
50%
25%
25%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
HAL
1 - 0
LEO
59%
23%
18%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2012 |
MUN
0 - 0
HAL
52%
24%
23%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Municipal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2012 |
COM
1 - 0
MUN
58%
23%
19%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
MUN
0 - 3
COM
58%
23%
19%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -2 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
MUN
3 - 2
HER
53%
24%
23%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2012 |
HER
1 - 1
MUN
56%
23%
21%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
MUN
3 - 3
VEN
54%
24%
22%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |