Halcones vs Marquense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.8%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
17.7%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Halcones
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
CHI
3 - 2
HAL
50%
25%
25%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
HAL
2 - 0
CON
50%
24%
26%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2013 |
MUN
3 - 2
HAL
44%
26%
30%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2013 |
HAL
4 - 0
ESC
53%
24%
24%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
VEN
3 - 0
HAL
55%
23%
22%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Marquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
LEO
3 - 1
ESC
56%
23%
22%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
VEN
1 - 0
LEO
60%
23%
18%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2013 |
LEO
3 - 4
HER
52%
24%
24%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2013 |
LEO
1 - 0
UNI
53%
24%
23%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2013 |
COM
0 - 0
LEO
55%
25%
20%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |