Halcones vs Marquense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
18.1%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Halcones
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2012 |
MUN
0 - 0
HAL
52%
24%
23%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
HAL
1 - 0
CHI
56%
23%
21%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2012 |
UNI
1 - 0
HAL
43%
26%
31%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
HAL
2 - 0
HER
55%
23%
23%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
HAL
1 - 1
COM
58%
23%
19%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Marquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
ESC
2 - 1
LEO
41%
28%
31%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2012 |
LEO
1 - 1
VEN
55%
24%
21%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
CON
1 - 0
LEO
44%
29%
28%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
LEO
1 - 1
DEP
54%
24%
22%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
COM
2 - 0
LEO
57%
24%
19%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |