Halcones vs Marquense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.3%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
21.5%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Halcones
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
ZAC
0 - 0
HAL
41%
26%
34%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
HAL
2 - 2
MUN
56%
23%
21%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2011 |
HAL
2 - 0
HER
53%
23%
23%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
TOR
2 - 2
HAL
50%
25%
26%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2011 |
HAL
3 - 1
CHI
56%
24%
20%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Marquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
LEO
6 - 0
CON
46%
26%
29%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
LEO
0 - 0
MUN
48%
26%
26%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2011 |
MUN
2 - 0
LEO
53%
24%
23%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
COM
0 - 0
LEO
55%
23%
21%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2011 |
TOR
2 - 0
LEO
52%
24%
24%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |