Halcones vs Marquense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.6%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
21.7%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Halcones
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
RET
1 - 1
HAL
49%
25%
26%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
MUN
2 - 0
HAL
51%
24%
25%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2011 |
HAL
3 - 1
TOR
57%
23%
20%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2011 |
CHI
2 - 1
HAL
48%
25%
27%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
HAL
2 - 1
ZAC
70%
18%
12%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Marquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
LEO
1 - 0
VEN
50%
26%
24%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
LEO
1 - 0
COM
51%
26%
24%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
CON
0 - 1
LEO
42%
27%
31%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2011 |
LEO
3 - 1
HER
48%
26%
27%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
DEP
1 - 1
LEO
34%
26%
40%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |