Halcones vs Heredia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.9%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
26.6%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Halcones
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
CHI
3 - 0
HAL
50%
25%
25%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
HAL
1 - 0
COM
52%
25%
22%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2014 |
CON
0 - 1
HAL
41%
28%
31%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
TOR
5 - 2
HAL
46%
26%
28%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
HAL
1 - 1
COA
51%
25%
24%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Heredia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
HER
4 - 0
LEO
61%
22%
17%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
MUN
3 - 2
HER
49%
26%
26%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2014 |
HER
4 - 1
VEN
58%
22%
19%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
HER
3 - 2
IZT
65%
20%
15%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
UNI
1 - 1
HER
52%
24%
23%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |