Halcones vs Heredia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.6%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
22.7%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Halcones
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
HAL
1 - 1
COM
58%
23%
19%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
TOR
2 - 1
HAL
48%
26%
27%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2012 |
HAL
3 - 0
ESC
69%
18%
12%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
VEN
3 - 1
HAL
55%
23%
22%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
HAL
0 - 0
CON
55%
22%
23%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Heredia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
HER
2 - 0
TOR
55%
23%
22%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
ESC
1 - 1
HER
35%
26%
39%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2012 |
HER
2 - 1
VEN
55%
23%
21%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
CON
2 - 0
HER
42%
27%
31%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
HER
4 - 1
DEP
58%
23%
19%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |