Halcones vs Heredia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.1%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
22.1%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Halcones
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2012 |
VEN
3 - 2
HAL
52%
24%
24%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
HAL
2 - 0
COM
60%
22%
18%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2012 |
HAL
2 - 0
TOR
57%
23%
21%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
CON
1 - 0
HAL
44%
27%
29%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
HAL
2 - 2
CHI
57%
23%
20%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Heredia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2012 |
HER
2 - 1
CON
48%
24%
28%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
CHI
4 - 0
HER
46%
26%
28%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
HER
2 - 1
RET
59%
23%
19%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
MUN
4 - 2
HER
51%
25%
24%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
HER
2 - 0
LEO
57%
23%
19%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |