Halcones vs Coatepeque analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.3%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
11.3%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Halcones
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2013 |
MUN
1 - 0
HAL
51%
25%
24%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
HAL
3 - 1
CON
50%
24%
26%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
HAL
0 - 2
VEN
53%
24%
23%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
CHI
1 - 0
HAL
50%
25%
25%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
HAL
2 - 1
TOR
55%
24%
21%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Coatepeque
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
COA
1 - 1
LEO
29%
29%
42%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2013 |
CON
1 - 1
COA
63%
23%
14%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
COA
1 - 2
UNI
22%
26%
52%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
MUN
1 - 0
COA
76%
16%
8%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
COM
2 - 1
COA
71%
19%
10%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | 0 |