Halcones de Zapopan vs Tritones Vallarta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.4%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.3%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
61.8%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.1%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
-19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
6
8º
10º
10º
24
1º
7º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
25 | 23 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
25 | 23 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
|
3º
|
24 | 22 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
18 | 17 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
18 | 17 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
17 | 16 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
13 | 13 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
10 | 10 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
8 | 8 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
6 | 6 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
1 | 1 |
11º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 100% |
|
Possible next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Halcones de Zapopan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
EST
2 - 0
HDZ
73%
17%
11%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2023 |
HDZ
1 - 1
MFC
72%
15%
13%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
LEO
0 - 0
HDZ
61%
21%
18%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
HDZ
1 - 2
LCU
29%
24%
47%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2022 |
HDZ
0 - 1
CSI
37%
24%
39%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Tritones Vallarta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
TRI
3 - 0
MIN
75%
16%
10%
|
53 | 39 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
ZAC
1 - 0
TRI
57%
24%
20%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
NAY
0 - 2
TRI
52%
24%
24%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | +2 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
TRI
0 - 0
CFC
59%
22%
19%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2022 |
EST
3 - 1
TRI
31%
26%
44%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | -1 |