Halcones de Zapopan vs Mineros de Fresnillo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.4%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.5%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
37.8%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
6
8º
10º
10º
10
3º
9º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
25 | 23 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
25 | 23 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
24 | 22 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
18 | 17 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
18 | 17 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
17 | 16 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
13 | 13 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
10 | 10 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
8 | 8 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
6 | 6 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
1 | 1 |
11º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Possible next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Halcones de Zapopan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
ZAC
3 - 1
HDZ
77%
15%
8%
|
38 | 58 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
NAY
1 - 1
HDZ
79%
14%
7%
|
37 | 54 | 17 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2023 |
HDZ
0 - 3
TRI
16%
22%
62%
|
38 | 54 | 16 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
EST
2 - 0
HDZ
73%
17%
11%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2023 |
HDZ
1 - 1
MFC
72%
15%
13%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Mineros de Fresnillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2023 |
CFC
3 - 1
MIN
66%
19%
15%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
MIN
1 - 1
ZAC
17%
22%
62%
|
40 | 58 | 18 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
MIN
1 - 0
NAY
15%
20%
65%
|
38 | 55 | 17 | +2 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
TRI
3 - 0
MIN
75%
16%
10%
|
39 | 53 | 14 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
MIN
0 - 2
EST
34%
25%
42%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | -1 |