Halcones de Zapopan vs Mexicali FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72%
Win probability
2.74
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.4%
12.5%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+66%
+44%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
6
8º
10º
10º
8
6º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
25 | 23 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
25 | 23 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
24 | 22 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
18 | 17 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
18 | 17 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
17 | 16 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
13 | 13 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
10 | 10 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
8 | 8 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
6 | 6 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
1 | 1 |
11º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Possible next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Halcones de Zapopan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
LEO
0 - 0
HDZ
61%
21%
18%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
HDZ
1 - 2
LCU
29%
24%
47%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2022 |
HDZ
0 - 1
CSI
37%
24%
39%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
CFC
0 - 0
HDZ
63%
20%
17%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
MIN
4 - 0
HDZ
51%
23%
27%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | -2 |
Matches
Mexicali FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
MFC
4 - 2
MIN
10%
14%
75%
|
23 | 42 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
ZAC
3 - 0
MFC
82%
12%
5%
|
23 | 59 | 36 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
MFC
1 - 1
NAY
6%
14%
80%
|
22 | 55 | 33 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
TRI
2 - 0
MFC
87%
10%
3%
|
23 | 53 | 30 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
MFC
0 - 3
EST
13%
17%
70%
|
24 | 44 | 20 | -1 |