Cup Quarter-finals
Global 4-1
HNK Hajduk Split vs NK Zagreb analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.3%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
12.4%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HNK Hajduk Split
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
ZAD
1 - 2
HKS
23%
27%
50%
|
83 | 63 | 20 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
HKS
1 - 0
OSI
62%
21%
16%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2009 |
ZAG
0 - 0
HKS
34%
27%
39%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
HKS
6 - 0
NKC
74%
17%
9%
|
83 | 58 | 25 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
MEI
1 - 1
HKS
25%
27%
48%
|
83 | 60 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
NK Zagreb
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2009 |
INT
1 - 3
ZAG
43%
27%
31%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
ZAG
3 - 3
SLA
42%
28%
30%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2009 |
ZAG
0 - 0
HKS
34%
27%
39%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2009 |
ZAG
4 - 0
ZAD
54%
24%
22%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
OSI
5 - 3
ZAG
56%
24%
19%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | -1 |