HNK Hajduk Split vs Zadar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.4%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
+4
7.9%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
14%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.8%
7.8%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HNK Hajduk Split
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2009 |
ZIL
1 - 1
HKS
49%
25%
26%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2009 |
OSI
1 - 1
HKS
30%
28%
42%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2009 |
HKS
2 - 2
DZG
40%
25%
36%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2009 |
HKS
3 - 0
DZG
33%
22%
45%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
SLA
1 - 1
HKS
40%
27%
33%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Zadar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2009 |
ZAD
0 - 3
HNK
49%
25%
26%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2009 |
ZAG
3 - 1
ZAD
60%
23%
18%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
ZAD
1 - 1
NKC
60%
22%
18%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
INT
2 - 2
ZAD
46%
26%
28%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
ZAD
3 - 1
HNK
49%
25%
26%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | +1 |