Cup Winners Cup Last 16
Global 3-3
HNK Hajduk Split vs Wrexham AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.5%
Win probability
2.98
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.5%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.7%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.5%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.9%
12.2%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
12.2%
7.3%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HNK Hajduk Split
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 1972 |
WRE
3 - 1
HKS
26%
21%
53%
|
78 | 54 | 24 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1972 |
FFK
0 - 1
HKS
55%
22%
23%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1972 |
HKS
1 - 0
FFK
62%
21%
18%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1971 |
HKS
1 - 1
VCF
45%
26%
29%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 1971 |
VCF
0 - 0
HKS
74%
16%
10%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Wrexham AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 1972 |
WRE
3 - 1
HKS
26%
21%
53%
|
54 | 78 | 24 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1972 |
WRE
2 - 1
ZUR
26%
22%
52%
|
53 | 77 | 24 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 1972 |
ZUR
1 - 1
WRE
85%
10%
5%
|
52 | 77 | 25 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 1970 |
LIV
3 - 1
WRE
84%
11%
5%
|
52 | 89 | 37 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1963 |
WRE
3 - 5
OPA
42%
20%
38%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | -1 |