Inter-Cities Fairs Cup 1/16
Global 2-3
HNK Hajduk Split vs Vitória Setúbal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.6%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
31.2%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HNK Hajduk Split
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 1970 |
VST
2 - 0
HKS
70%
17%
13%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1970 |
SSO
1 - 0
HKS
52%
23%
25%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1970 |
HKS
3 - 0
SSO
61%
21%
18%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1967 |
TOT
4 - 3
HKS
80%
12%
8%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1967 |
HKS
0 - 2
TOT
39%
24%
37%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 1970 |
VST
2 - 0
FCP
66%
20%
14%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1970 |
VIT
2 - 3
VST
39%
26%
35%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1970 |
VST
2 - 0
HKS
70%
17%
13%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1970 |
VST
5 - 1
BOA
85%
11%
4%
|
83 | 56 | 27 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1970 |
SCP
1 - 0
VST
56%
24%
21%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |