Europa League Quarter-finals
Global 2-1
HNK Hajduk Split vs Sparta Praha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.4%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
18.9%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HNK Hajduk Split
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 1984 |
SPA
1 - 0
HKS
63%
19%
18%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1983 |
HKS
2 - 0
RAD
96%
2%
1%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1983 |
RAD
0 - 2
HKS
45%
25%
30%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 1983 |
HKS
3 - 0
BUD
81%
11%
8%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1983 |
BUD
3 - 2
HKS
20%
30%
51%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Sparta Praha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 1984 |
SPA
1 - 0
HKS
63%
19%
18%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1983 |
SPA
4 - 0
WAT
69%
17%
14%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1983 |
WAT
2 - 3
SPA
42%
26%
33%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 1983 |
SPA
3 - 0
WLO
87%
8%
5%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1983 |
WLO
1 - 0
SPA
20%
29%
51%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |